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Labor Dynamics Institute

Looking ahead to August's jobs numbers

Marketplace
In this audio interview, ILR Senior Labor Market Advisor Erica Groshen comments on U.S. labor market stagnancy: “Our usual characterization of the labor market is it takes the escalator up and takes the escalator down – this is like we are spending a lot of time on that landing.”
Looking ahead to August's jobs numbers

Budget Percentages

Wallet Hub
ILR Professor Philipp Kircher offers tips for using percentage-based budgeting for personal finances.
Budget Percentages

The Fed’s Data Task Force Is a Step Backward

Bloomberg
The 30 recommendations in “Modernizing the Federal Statistical System,” coauthored by Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, are noted in this article.
The Fed’s Data Task Force Is a Step Backward

Who counts in Trump’s America

Financial Times
“That means [the census] will lose most of its value for business,” says John Abowd, ILR emeritus professor and former chief scientist at the Census Bureau, about a proposal from George Cook, acting head of the U.S. Census Bureau, to ban “noise infusion” privacy techniques from the 2030 census.
Who counts in Trump’s America

Experts cast doubt on findings in census report on noncitizen voting

NBC News
John Abowd, ILR emeritus professor and former chief scientist at the Census Bureau, criticizes the methodology behind the census report on noncitizen voting as unprofessional.
Experts cast doubt on findings in census report on noncitizen voting

Experts question US Census Bureau report on noncitizen voting

Yahoo News
John Abowd criticizes a recent Census Bureau report about noncitizen voting as “at best irresponsible, but more likely pure partisan manipulation.” [Syndicated/translated from AFP]
Experts question US Census Bureau report on noncitizen voting

Veteran Economist, Insider Matsumoto Wins Senate Approval as BLS Commissioner

Reuters
Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, comments on the significance of Brett Matsumoto’s appointment as the bureau’s new commissioner and on current political and financial challenges facing statistical agencies.
Veteran Economist, Insider Matsumoto Wins Senate Approval as BLS Commissioner

Census Bureau Officials Field Questions About Politicization and Data Loss After Controversial Rule Change

Talking Points Memo
John Abowd, ILR emeritus professor and former chief scientist at the Census Bureau, commented that it’s not necessarily unusual for the Office of Management and Budget to be involved in policy management, in this article about required changes to how the bureau preserves participant privacy while providing data.
Census Bureau Officials Field Questions About Politicization and Data Loss After Controversial Rule Change

Rising health insurance costs may take a bite out of your paycheck

Marketplace
The cost of health insurance for employers is going up due to the introduction of new drugs, rising wages for healthcare workers, and an aging workforce says Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor, in this audio interview.
Rising health insurance costs may take a bite out of your paycheck

Why the Bureau of Economic Analysis is updating how it calculates inflation

Marketplace
“These measures of what inflation is are part of what the Federal Reserve looks at when it sets interest rates,” explains Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor, in this audio interview about this year’s changes to how the Bureau of Economic Analysis estimates inflation.
Why the Bureau of Economic Analysis is updating how it calculates inflation

Abowd, Vilhuber Win 2026 PET Award

John Abowd, professor emeritus of economics, statistics, and data science at Cornell and Lars Vilhuber, research professor and executive director of ILR’s Labor Dynamics Institute, have received the 2026 Caspar Bowden PET Award for Outstanding Research in Privacy Enhancing Technologies.
John Abowd poses with the 2026 Caspar Bowden PET Award for Outstanding Research in Privacy Enhancing Technologies
Abowd, Vilhuber Win 2026 PET Award

What happens when wages grow at the same rate as inflation

Marketplace
Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor, explains how stagnant real earnings and reduced job-changing are affecting worker purchasing power.
What happens when wages grow at the same rate as inflation

Right-Wing Groups Just Got a Big Win on the Census

Yahoo News
The political context and practical effects of a recent Commerce Department memo banning certain privacy protections used in the 2020 U.S. Census are discussed by Lars Vilhuber, executive director of ILR’s Labor Dynamics Institute, and John Abowd, ILR emeritus professor. [Syndicated from Talking Points Memo]
Right-Wing Groups Just Got a Big Win on the Census

Trump fired the BLS chief over 'rigged' data claims. Economists say it cost the economy $20 billion

Yahoo! Finance
The U.S. economy took a $20 billion hit in response to President Trump’s firing of Bureau of Labor Statistics Commissioner Erika McEntarfer says a research-based analysis, which was co-written by Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner. [Syndicated from Moneywise]
Trump fired the BLS chief over 'rigged' data claims. Economists say it cost the economy $20 billion

SCOTUS’ Narrow Protection of the Fed Means Cook, and Fed Independence, Still at Risk

Talking Points Memo
In light of a recent Supreme Court decision, Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, comments on likely changes to employment criteria for leadership at federal agencies, such as Bureau of Labor Statistics, and how that might make those jobs less attractive.
SCOTUS’ Narrow Protection of the Fed Means Cook, and Fed Independence, Still at Risk

Groshen Named Statistical Advocate of the Year

For her transformative role in conveying the importance of high-quality federal statistics to legislators, journalists and the public, Erica Groshen, senior economics advisor, has been named the 2026 recipient of the Harry V. Roberts Statistical Advocate of the Year Award, presented by the American Statistical Association.
Erica Groshen
Groshen Named Statistical Advocate of the Year

A Trump push to cut 'statistical noise' could mean less data from the Census Bureau

NPR
“The only confidentiality protection available is coarsening. It is guaranteed to reduce the level of detail drastically,” said John Abowd, ILR emeritus professor and former chief scientist at the Census Bureau, discussing the impact of the Trump administration’s ban of a privacy technique called “noise infusion.”
A Trump push to cut 'statistical noise' could mean less data from the Census Bureau

Data: you don’t know what you’ve got till it’s gone

Financial Times
Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor, co-authored a working paper assessing the economic impact of undermining official statistics.
Data: you don’t know what you’ve got till it’s gone

Cornell economist warns attacks on federal data could carry steep economic consequences

FingerLakes1.com
Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor, co-authored a working paper revealing substantial economic damage linked to diminished trust in federal statistics; “when trust in government statistics is eroded, this is the cost of people flying blind,” said Groshen.
Cornell economist warns attacks on federal data could carry steep economic consequences

Bad government statistics can cost the economy billions

The Economist
Preserving trust in “the integrity and quality of official statistics” generates economic benefits of about $25 for every $1 spent on the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics says a working paper co-written by Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner.
Bad government statistics can cost the economy billions

Dispatches From Trump’s War on Information

The American Prospect
Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, comments on past instances of pre-release bureau data being shared and on the importance of trust to the bureau’s data collection and processing efforts.
Dispatches From Trump’s War on Information

Trump’s New Data Chief Will Face Intense Scrutiny and a Shrunken Workforce

Bloomberg
Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, provides insight on the agency’s challenges and staffing constraints.
Trump’s New Data Chief Will Face Intense Scrutiny and a Shrunken Workforce

What’s behind the US job numbers?

BBC Sounds
Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor, analyzes the recent U.S. jobs report, noting growth in health care and construction and losses in government. Groshen also points out that changes in the tax structure for investments may influence upcoming jobs reports and comments on interest rates.
What’s behind the US job numbers?

The first jobs report of 2026 is coming out Wednesday. It could be a doozy

CNN
Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, explains how the bureau’s “benchmarking” process adjusts past employment data to improve its accuracy.
The first jobs report of 2026 is coming out Wednesday. It could be a doozy

Trump’s BLS Pick to Contend With Leadership Vacuum, Staff Losses

Bloomberg Law
Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, provides expert insight on the bureau’s staffing and leadership challenges and shares a favorable opinion of Brett Matsumoto, who was recently nominated to become the bureau’s commissioner.
Trump’s BLS Pick to Contend With Leadership Vacuum, Staff Losses

No Company Has Admitted to Replacing Workers with AI in New York

Wired
Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor, says New York’s effort to track AI-related layoffs is a start, but suggests that employers be required to share richer data on changing skills and occupations so workers and society can more easily navigate transitions.
No Company Has Admitted to Replacing Workers with AI in New York

Economic Experts Skeptical Trump Fed Chair Pick Will Be Free from Political Influence

Talking Points Memo
“If you had a chair who was very politically motivated and the rest of the committee was not, then you might have more turmoil within the committee than we’d normally see,” said Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor, about the chair of the Federal Reserve Board.
Economic Experts Skeptical Trump Fed Chair Pick Will Be Free from Political Influence

“Labor in New York in 2026” Presented in Albany

Experts from the ILR School met with Senator Jessica Ramos and Assemblymember Harry B. Bronson, New York State Chairs of the Committee on Labor, to discuss the current state of labor in New York.
Esta Bigler presents to Senator Jessica Ramos and Assemblymember Harry B. Bronson in Albany.
“Labor in New York in 2026” Presented in Albany

US January employment report will be delayed because of partial government shutdown

Reuters
Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, predicts that the bureau will “work very hard to make sure quality is preserved,” despite the current partial government shutdown.
US January employment report will be delayed because of partial government shutdown

Trump Plans to Nominate Brett Matsumoto to Head BLS, Report Says

MSN
“On the face of it, I’d say he’s quite a reasonable candidate,” said Erica Groshen, ILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, when asked about the nomination of Brett Matsumoto to be the new commissioner of the bureau.
Trump Plans to Nominate Brett Matsumoto to Head BLS, Report Says

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