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Employment Cost Index Commentaries

U.S. Employment Cost Index

Feb 10, 2026

For full commentary, email: ICS-ILR@cornell.edu

U.S. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX, Q1 2026 COMMENTARY

2026 First Quarter Summary: Inflation closes in on compensation cost growth
Salary check from a typewriter
U.S. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX, Q1 2026 COMMENTARY

U.S. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX, Q4 2025 COMMENTARY

2025 Fourth Quarter Summary: Further softening in compensation cost growth, though margin above general inflation widens slightly
Photo of hands holding a pencil over paper in front of two laptop computers
U.S. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX, Q4 2025 COMMENTARY

U.S. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX, Q3 2025 COMMENTARY

2025 Third Quarter Summary: Growth in compensation costs continues downward trend, though still above general inflation
An image with financial dashboard on a laptop screen
U.S. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX, Q3 2025 COMMENTARY

U.S. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX, Q2 2025 COMMENTARY

2025 Second Quarter Summary: Workers’ real purchasing power has slightly weakened despite continued wage growth above inflation.
Detailed view of financial trading graphs on a monitor, illustrating stock market trends.https://www.pexels.com/photo/close-up-photo-of-monitor-159888/
U.S. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX, Q2 2025 COMMENTARY

U.S. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX, Q1 2025 COMMENTARY

2025 First Quarter Summary: Continue gains in workers’ real purchasing power, while private-sector benefit costs, particularly healthcare, are accelerating faster than wages.
Detailed view of a stock market screen showing numbers and data, symbolizing financial trading. https://www.pexels.com/photo/numbers-on-monitor-534216/
U.S. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX, Q1 2025 COMMENTARY

U.S. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX, Q4 2024 COMMENTARY

2024 Fourth Quarter Summary: Year-on-year growth of employee compensation softens but remained solidly above consumer inflation.
Stock Snap Photo by 50FISH. Ecommerce strategy, design and digital marketing agency.
U.S. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX, Q4 2024 COMMENTARY

U.S. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX, Q3 2024 COMMENTARY

2024 Third Quarter Summary: Compensation costs continue to rise faster than inflation: good news for workers, especially union workers.
loosely rolled US$100 bills, photo from freepik.com
U.S. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX, Q3 2024 COMMENTARY

U.S. Employment Cost Index, Q1 2026 Commentary

2026 First Quarter Summary—Inflation closes in on compensation cost growth. Read the PDF for more details.
Salary check from a typewriter
U.S. Employment Cost Index, Q1 2026 Commentary

U.S. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX, Q2 2024 COMMENTARY

2024 Second Quarter Summary: Compensation costs continue to rise faster than inflation: good news for workers, especially union workers
Page edges making dynamic curve abstraction, From Freepik.com
U.S. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX, Q2 2024 COMMENTARY

U.S. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX, Q1 2024 COMMENTARY

2024 First Quarter Summary: Compensation growing outpacing inflation for the fourth straight quarter while wage growth moderates overall but accelerates for government and union workers, with health insurance costs beginning to rise again.
Woman using business calculator with notes and charts sitting on table below her arms
U.S. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX, Q1 2024 COMMENTARY

U.S. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX, Q4 2023 COMMENTARY

2023 Fourth Quarter Summary: Compensation growth easing to 4.2% but remaining above inflation for the third consecutive quarter, restoring workers’ purchasing power as private-sector pay growth cools while union compensation temporarily accelerates.
New York skyline
U.S. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX, Q4 2023 COMMENTARY

U.S. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX, Q3 2023 COMMENTARY

2023 Third Quarter Summary: Compensation growth falling from 4.5 percent in the Q2 2023 to 4.3 percent in Q3 but remained above inflation, allowing workers’ real compensation to begin recovering from the inflation-driven losses of 2020–2022.
Image of US currency on black background by Bob Ghost
U.S. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX, Q3 2023 COMMENTARY

U.S. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX, Q4 2021COMMENTARY

2021 Fourth Quarter Summary: Annual compensation growth accelerates but continues to fall short of inflation; largest increases were in wages and salaries for private-sector workers, particularly for those in service occupations. Civilian workers’ compensation costs 12-month growth rate of 4.0 percent growth is the highest in 20 years.
Close up image of US currency. Photo by <a href="https://unsplash.com/@adamnir?utm_source=unsplash&utm_medium=referral&utm_content=creditCopyText">Adam Nir</a> on <a href="https://unsplash.com/s/photos/us-dollar?utm_source=unsplash&utm_medium=referral&utm_content=creditCopyText">Unsplash</a>
U.S. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX, Q4 2021COMMENTARY

U.S. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX, Q3 2021 COMMENTARY

2021 Third Quarter Summary: Annual compensation growth accelerates but falls far short of inflation; largest increases were in wages and salaries for private-sector workers and those in service occupations. Although varying by occupation and sectors, compensation witnesses record-high growth increase in 17 years.
ECI commentary 2021 Q3 cover image
U.S. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX, Q3 2021 COMMENTARY

U.S. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX, Q2 2021 COMMENTARY

2021 Second Quarter Summary: Annual compensation growth strengthens further, with largest increases for wages and salaries for private-sector workers in service occupations. Propelled by rising private sector compensation, ECI growth rate recovers to pre-pandemic level.
Cover image of 2021 Q2 commentary.
U.S. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX, Q2 2021 COMMENTARY

U.S. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX, Q1 2021 COMMENTARY

2021 First Quarter Summary: Annual compensation growth recovers further from pandemic effects. As ECI growth rate approaches pre-Covid pace, low-wage workers are disproportionately impacted by the pandemic.
Cover image for 2021 Q1 commentary.
U.S. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX, Q1 2021 COMMENTARY

U.S. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX, Q4 2020 COMMENTARY

2020 Fourth Quarter Summary: Annual compensation growth remains steady. Wage and salary growth in the public sector decelerates while the private sector growth gap widens among occupations.
Cover image for the 2020 Q4 ECI commentary.
U.S. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX, Q4 2020 COMMENTARY

U.S. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX, Q1 2020 COMMENTARY

2020 First Quarter Summary: Annual compensation growth remains steady despite worsening labor market conditions at the end of the quarter. While compensation growth stabilizes, the current ECI data has yet to document the full-fledged effect of Covid-19.
Cover image for the 2020 Q1 ECI commentary.
U.S. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX, Q1 2020 COMMENTARY

U.S. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX, Q3 2019 COMMENTARY

2019 Third Quarter Summary: Annual compensation growth strengthens, breaking pattern of softening growth over the last two quarters. ECI variation narrows across the country. As private sector growth drives the ECI trend, the accelerating growth in service jobs ends.
Cover image for the 2019 Q3 ECI commentary
U.S. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX, Q3 2019 COMMENTARY

U.S. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX, Q2 2019 COMMENTARY

2019 Second Quarter Summary: With unemployment rate steady, year-on-year compensation growth softens.
Cover image for the 2019 Q2 ECI commentary
U.S. EMPLOYMENT COST INDEX, Q2 2019 COMMENTARY

2013 Third Quarter

Despite its higher unemployment rate, the West is experiencing more rapidly rising wage and salary costs.  
2013 Third Quarter

2013 Second Quarter

Employment Cost Index aligns with July’s BLS Employment Situation report, both signal steady recovery in the U.S. labor market, with emphasis on lower-paying jobs.
2013 Second Quarter

2012 Third Quarter

As total compensation increases rebound slightly, public sector employers continue to face upward trend in employee health benefit inflation.
2012 Third Quarter

2012 Second Quarter

Total compensation increases continue slowing trend, as 12-month percent change in private sector benefit costs drops precipitously.
2012 Second Quarter

2012 First Quarter

Deceleration in private sector health benefit cost index brings growth rate back to 1998 level. Meanwhile, private sector employment cost index is trending strongest in the South.
2012 First Quarter

2011 Fourth Quarter

While compensation cost increases remains steady, the public sector witnesses the lowest compensation increase since June of 1982.
2011 Fourth Quarter

2011 Third Quarter

Total U.S. civilian 12-month employment cost increases fell back for the first time since Q4 2009.
2011 Third Quarter

2011 Second Quarter

For the first time in over a decade, the cost of private sector employment benefits overall increased faster than those for health care.
2011 Second Quarter

2011 First Quarter

Deceleration in health benefits costs surprises private sector employers.
2011 First Quarter

2010 Fourth Quarter

ECI consistent with an economy accelerating away from the recession’s labor market trough, but “very, very slowly.”
2010 Fourth Quarter

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